2022-05-31

Venmo, iPhone, Google Maps, more Android

Venmo, iPhone, Google Maps, more Android

Venmo - a quick note. I have run into three people (that's everyone that I have sent Venmo money to) that have their privacy settings default to visible to friends. That means that when a friend clicks on your name, they can see every Venmo transaction that you have made. Not just to you, but to everyone. Go to Settings, Privacy and set Default Privacy Settings to Private. Then go to Past Transactions and Change All to Private. While you are in the vicinity, look at Friends List and set that as desired. I am assuming that this all works - I have not verified that it does as one would expect.

I was about to replace my Google Pixel 4a phone with an iPhone 13 mini. Then I saw a news article that shocked me. Always on lock screens might finally be coming to the iPhone 14. HUH? iPhones have had OLED screens for years. But they don't have an always on lock screen that shows the time at a glance, without interacting with the phone? Further research confirmed this. I use my phone as a clock - set it on a table or phone stand and I can see the time by looking at the phone. Scratch the iPhone mini. And apparently any future iPhones, since the small form factor is being dropped. This reminds me of European car makers that, for many years, refused to recognize the importance of cup holders in cars.

So looking back at Android phones - I took a trip to Johnson City, TN and needed to get to various places there. Google Maps always tries to find the shortest or "most fuel efficient" route. But that leads to back roads with no handy stores, restaurants, gas, and twice it led to one lane tunnels (one with and one without stoplights to help avoid wrecks). And it's difficult to learn the city with these routes. I could see on the maps that there were four lane roads that could easily be used, generally with a one or two minute ETA penalty. So I started either selecting a different route or ignoring the turn onto the back roads. But Maps has a feature to defeat this. It keeps searching for "better" routes. If it finds one, it displays a choice to switch routes. You have a few seconds to respond, and if you don't, your route changes.  I'm navigating roads that I've never been on and I must divert my attention to Maps to prevent it from ruining my trip.

And you only have these choices - No, Thank You or Accept.  Where is "IF YOU CHANGE MY ROUTE WITHOUT MY PERMISSION, I WILL ..."?

I missed a turn at one point - there was no street name at the corner. In the past, Maps would just say make a U turn. This time it took me on a 2 mile loop through narrow back roads. A U turn would have fixed the problem in a few seconds.

I see a lot of hype about artificial intelligence. I don't see any evidence of artificial intelligence in Maps. Or my Amazon Echo, which is still as stupid as it was when I purchased it.

New Google Store policy - I can't buy a new Kindle book from the Kindle App. I'm about to finish book 5 in a series. I can't just ask for book 6 - I have to go to Amazon and find it. I finish reading a sample from an ebook. I can't just ask to purchase the complete book - I have to go to Amazon and find it. Of course I am stuck with Android (see iPhone issue above).

Google has made their new privacy policy so abstruse that developers don't know how to comply with it. When you submit a revised app, they just say it doesn't comply - read the rules. They don't tell you what rule you have failed to comply with. This caught FairEmail, a superb app that I now use instead of Gmail (which crashes regularly - of course crashing multiple times a day doesn't keep an app out the Google app store). Having been absent from the app store for a while, apparently Google finally communicated the issue, and FairEmail is back in the store. Someone at Google missed their chance to destroy a great app.

2022-05-26

Good Products that Stay Around for Decades

Good Products that Stay Around for Decades

Some products that I have used for decades -

Afrin 12 hour nasal spray. This is the most effective over the counter medication that I know of, delivering complete relief within a couple of minutes that lasts for maybe 10 hours. Thankfully you can still get the small .5 ounce bottle without the new pump that forces you to use a full dose when you don't need it. I like the small size for travel.

McDonald's fish sandwiches, Egg McMuffins, and French fries. The last fish sandwich that I got was awful - tough and chewy, apparently due to sitting in a heater for a long time. It may be a while before I try again. Egg McMuffins are my favorite breakfast. I leave off half of the English muffin. (I rarely eat breakfast, mostly just on trips.) Doesn't hurt to add avocado if you have one.

Original (plain) Cheerios are about as good as you can get for low sugar, high fiber, and good taste. Original Cheerios has 4.4 grams of sugar per 100 grams. A side note - there are now 14 other versions of Cheerios (at least), ranging from 21 to 34 grams of sugar per 100 grams.

Uni-ball liquid ink pens, plain black plastic. .3mm ball I think - not noted on the pen, threw out the boxes - rats. Resilient pocket clip. Nice feel. I keep about twenty of them, spread around my home, car, jackets. One is almost always easily found when I need it.

X-acto hobby knife, number 11 blade in a number 2 handle. The number 2 handle (large diameter, solid aluminum) shields the bottom of the number 11 blade (meant for a small diameter handle) from slicing your thumb. And it is more controllable than the number 1 handle. Wonderful. Used for over 50 years.

Mitutoyo dial calipers. My 1970 calipers still work well, but I switched to a metric unit model for my violin shoulder rest. You pick it up and use it. No waiting for electronics to initialize. No battery to wear out (or fall out on the electronic calipers that I tried). I like pure mechanical devices.


Other products, I would have used for decades, but they were killed or ruined by the manufacturer -

Gildan large gray crew socks. For size 12-15 feet. I don't have big feet, but I hate tight socks. The gray ones are not as tight as the black ones, something about the fabric. These are no longer available. When I finish the ones that I purchased in advance, it will be a decade of use. And I would have purchased a lot more.

Many running shoes fall into this category. Nike, Saucony, Asics have made wonderful shoes that were replaced by junk. I'm using Brooks Adrenaline now. It changes every year but has, so far, retained its important attributes.

I used Glide dental floss for many years. It worked well, never broke, had a very nice case. Proctor and Gamble bought Glide. The new Glide breaks regularly. Useless.

Lee jeans, maybe 40 years. Fit me just right. Then they changed the cut, without notice. Couldn't they have kept "Lee Jeans Classic".

2022-05-23

Investing - Things I Have Learned in Retirement

Investing - Things I Have Learned in Retirement

This is complicated. And details change every year. And I don't know all the details. So I am going to outline concepts, not specifics.

Also see Investing, Investing - More Fun with Investing, Investing - How to Choose a Mutual Fund, Investing - The Basics of US Income Taxes, and Investing - Retirement Money Tips .


401K to IRA Transfer


This can be done without penalty or taxes after you reach 60 years. The advantage is that you have more control over your assets. But it may take you out of some handy mutual funds or useful benefits. For example, stable value funds were designed for 401ks, and are not available for IRAs.

Do a direct transfer to your brokerage (or read the rules carefully to avoid a trap).


IRA to Roth IRA


You can invest in a Roth IRA only with income that you have payed taxes on. There is no income tax on Roth IRA withdrawals (but read the rules on how long you have to wait before withdrawals).

You are allowed to move assets from an IRA to a Roth IRA. There are currently no limits on your income or the amount of assets that you can move. You must pay income tax on the value of the assets that you move. Have your brokerage do a direct transfer (or read the rules carefully to avoid a trap).

This will increase your income. So look at how it affects your taxes, Medicare payments, maybe other things like COVID relief payments, student loan relief.

The advantage of doing this is that it shields you from future tax increases and the Roth is a good place to put high risk/reward investments because they grow tax free.


Social Security Income


It's well publicized that your Social Security income depends on when you start taking payments. A first approximation is that if you live past 84, you will get more money if you delay payments. This is a choice only if you don't need the money immediately, so it depends on what you do with the money - spend or invest.

There are many reasons to handle this in different ways - income taxes, the availability of other income sources, ability to spend money as you get older.


Required Minimum Distributions


Somewhere around 70 years age (72 right now), there are required minimum distributions on an IRA, 401k (I think any tax advantaged account made up of pre-tax income). It is your responsibility to initiate these withdrawals. The penalty for missing these is huge. You cannot count IRA to Roth conversions toward this withdrawal.


Taxes (revised 2023-09-14)

I'm not a tax expert. Where you withdraw money (IRA, Roth IRA, tax unadvantaged assets) and how much you withdraw affects your tax rate. Note the difference in ordinary income, capital gains, dividends, and interest. Use this to your advantage.

IRA                                  - ordinary income tax
Roth IRA                         - no tax

bond interest                  - interest tax
sold stocks                      - capital gains tax
stock distributions          - dividend tax
stock fund distributions  - cap gains tax,
dividend tax
bond fund distributions  - cap gains tax, interest (reported as ordinary dividends)  tax
fund withdrawal              - capital gains tax

 

Dividend taxes - dividends can be "qualified" or "unqualified ordinary". Qualified dividends are a subset of ordinary dividends. Qualified dividends are taxed as long term capital gains. Unqualified ordinary dividends are taxed as income. The rules for a dividend to be qualified are a bit detailed - search on "qualified ordinary dividends", but in general, dividends from a US corporation that you have held long enough are qualified. The year end brokerage tax summary lists total ordinary dividends (includes qualified) and qualified dividends.

Capital gains taxes - capital gains can be short or long depending on how long you held the asset before selling. Short term gains are taxed as income. Long term gains get the long term capital gains rate. 

There are just two rates (actually rate tables). Income, interest, unqualified ordinary dividends, and short term capital gains get the income tax rate. Long term capital gains and qualified dividends get the long term capital gains rate.

As I understand it - for Kentucky, the first $31,000 of retirement income (IRA, 401K, etc. withdrawal) is free of Kentucky income tax (2020, changes every year). This includes an IRA to Roth conversion.

The homestead tax exemption varies by state. In Kentucky it reduces the taxed value of your home by about $39,300 (2020, changes every year) for people at least 65 years old. You must apply to get this exemption.


Tax Unadvantaged Assets


That is stuff that is not in an IRA, Roth IRA, 401K, 403b, etc.

If you have assets that are not tax advantaged, when you withdraw money from these assets you pay capital gains taxes on the difference between the current value and the cost basis. This can be considerably lower than paying income taxes on an IRA withdrawal. So this may be where you want to take money to live on.

(If you have a Roth IRA, there is no tax on a withdrawal. But that's a great place to grow assets for the future.)

Every year, or maybe quarterly or monthly, a mutual fund makes a distribution to cover the capital gains on stocks that it sells and dividends that it has collected. The distribution is a combination of capital gains and dividends, and you pay taxes based on that. If you have the mutual fund set to reinvest distributions, the money is used to buy more shares (this increases the cost basis, assuming the funds assets are growing, and reduces future taxes). If you then take a withdrawal for living expenses, you pay capital gains taxes on the withdrawal. So it is likely preferred to turn off automatic reinvestment, and use the yearly distributions for living expenses.


Indexed Funds vs Managed Funds

If you have a tax unadvantaged mutual fund with a low cost basis (often due to many years of ownership), it may be very expensive to sell due to the capital gains taxes. So what do you do if you suddenly find the fund falling significantly faster than its benchmark index due to a manager change or the manager's luck? I don't know. But this is one BIG reason to stick with index funds. You may miss out on some appreciation that a genius fund manager can offer, but you also miss out on the death spiral of an unlucky manager or a bad new manager.

Also, since index funds seldom sell stocks (the indexes are pretty stable), the capital gains distributions are low. Of course that means that the cost basis percentage goes lower more quickly. So the index fund is more expensive to sell (high capital gains taxes). But, especially for a dividend fund, you may never have to sell.


Asset Value vs Income

Stocks return dividends based on profit, without regard to the stock value. So if you invest in dividend stocks to get dividends, you do not need to be concerned about the stock's price. To a point. If the profits drop, the dividends will drop and the stock price will drop.

But the point is, to a degree, dividend stocks and funds can be a good income source despite being subject to stock value fluctuations.

Similarly bonds and CDs give off a steady dividend despite their value fluctuating with current interest rates. Bonds and CDs held to maturity hold their initial dollar value. Bond fund values fluctuate with interest rates because they reflect the current value of the bonds.


Medicare Trap

Medicare charges you more if your income is too large, first increase at a little over $100,000 I think. If you take a lot of money from an IRA, for living or transfer to Roth, you can expect this hit in two years (as I understand it).


Mutual Funds

These are just funds to look into. I am not making any recommendations.

dividend stocks              - VYM, SCHD
60/40 stock/bond funds - VBIAX, PRWCX, VWELX
40/60 stock/bond funds - VWINX
intermediate bonds       - DODIX, VCORX
short term bonds           - FNSOX
CDs                                - 3%, 3 years looks good

2022-05-21

Current Events May 2022

Current Events May 2022

COVID -

This data is from https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104709/coronavirus-deaths-worldwide-per-million-inhabitants/.

The number columns here are COVID deaths per million people for May 1, 2020 and 2021, and April 26,2022.

sorted by 2020
India              1    154    378
Brazil            30   1912   3119
Germany           80    993   1616
Canada           116    642   1023
United States    206   1742   2995
France           360   1539   2046
United Kingdom   404   1882   2575
Spain            525   1673   2194

sorted by 2021
India              1    154    378
Canada           116    642   1023
Germany           80    993   1616
France           360   1539   2046
Spain            525   1673   2194
United States    206   1742   2995
United Kingdom   404   1882   2575
Brazil            30   1912   3119

sorted by 2022
India              1    154    378
Canada           116    642   1023
Germany           80    993   1616
France           360   1539   2046
Spain            525   1673   2194
United Kingdom   404   1882   2575
United States    206   1742   2995
Brazil            30   1912   3119


So how has the US done? As of 2021, 3x the death rate of Canada, 2x the death rate of Germany, not too different from France, Spain, United Kingdom.

But as of 2022, still 3x the death rate of Canada, 2x the death rate of Germany, but considerably worse that France, Spain, UK.

Of course COVID is not over. But the US death rate from COVID has gotten worse in the last year compared to the rest of the world.


DHS Disinformation Governance Board -

Now paused, I don't know what that means. But I just want to know what are/were the people that created it going to say when a Republican takes over.


Investing -

Not good. And worse, bond values are falling almost as fast as stocks. So what is a safe place to put money? Percent changes Jan 1 to May 20 2022 shown.

    S&P 500             FXAIX -17.7%
    dividend stocks?    VYM   -5%
    60/40 funds?        VBIAX -15%
    40/60 funds?        VWINX -8.3%
    intermediate bonds? DODIX -8.5%
    short term bonds?   FNSOX -4%
    CDs                 (3%, 3 years looks good)?
    gold?
    real estate?

 

Subtract inflation from all of these numbers.

The answer - I have no idea. I think I like dividend stocks going forward. Not for the stock value, but for the dividends.


Wind -

I can't remember a windier year. I can't talk on the phone while taking a walk. I can't hear music from my phone without turning it up so loud that I can't stand it. Is this a permanent weather feature?


Ukraine War, Infant Formula Shortage, High Gasoline Prices, Inflation -

I have no idea what to say.


Abortion, Roe v Wade -


The battle over abortion has destroyed our political system. The two sides are completely polarized and this has polarized the two parties and what each stands for. The concept of compromise has been canceled. We are no closer to finding a mutually accepted answer than we were fifty years ago.


The Next President -

Just one comment, given that this is a non-political blog.

I will NOT vote for anyone to be president who is over 70 years old.

(I guess I have one more chance to run.)